Tech Firms Drive the US Financial Market to Record Highs

Published: Apr 2021

On a tech market rally, fuelled by declining bond yields and solid March U.S. retail sales, the Dow industrials (.DJI) closed above 34,000 for the first time on Thursday, with the blue-chip benchmark and S&P 500 (.SPX) posting new record highs.

This week, the S&P 500 set a new closing high, and the Dow surpassed its previous high from April 9. The Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) closed above 14,000 for the first time since February 16, and is now down less than 1% from its record high ending on February 12.

The S&P information technology sector (.SPLRCT) also reached a new peak. Big tech names including Apple Inc (AAPL.O), Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O), and Facebook Inc (FB.O), which earned between 1.5 % and 1.9 %, boosted the benchmark and the communication services (.SPLRCL) index.

"Even though valuations are high, you have a lot of faith in the major tech giants' ability to generate enough cash flow to support those valuations," said Tim Murray, a capital markets analyst at T. Rowe Price Associates.

The fact that Treasury yields have been falling after spiking upwards at the end of March is helping to draw in cash for certain names, as investors gradually embrace the Federal Reserve's promises of maintaining an accommodative monetary policy amid higher inflation. For the first time since March 25, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell below 1.6 %.

Following the positive results reported by Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N), JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N), and Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) on Wednesday, Bank of America (BAC.N) and Citigroup Inc (C.N) in their earnings reports on Thursday, both expressed optimism about the economy. Their stock prices, however, fell by 2.9 % and 0.5 %, respectively.

"Unusually, earnings forecasts for the quarter have risen, and what tends to drive markets is when the results are much better than predicted," said Randy Frederick, Charles Schwab's vice president of trading and derivatives.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) increased 305.1 points, or 0.9 %, to 34,035.99; the S&P 500 (.SPX) increased 45.76 points, or 1.11 %, to 4,170.42; and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) increased 180.92 points, or 1.31 %, to 14,038.76.

An increase in March retail sales in the United States helped to boost sentiment, as Americans got additional pandemic relief checks from the government. Last week, jobless claims dropped more than anticipated to 576,000, a one-year low.

"It's the best of both worlds for US equities, with the 10-year down but positive economic data. That's just what you're looking for, isn't it? "Murray of T Rowe remarked.

Coinbase Global Inc, a cryptocurrency exchange, bounced around until closing 1.7 % lower, a day after its high-profile Nasdaq debut that briefly priced it at more than $100 billion.